Debate the markets

Live Manifold and Polymarket prediction markets. Pick one, click Debate it, and an AI will argue the side you disagree with. out loud, in real time. Then log your posterior and see how much you actually moved.

← landing

polymarket

Will Donald Trump run for president in 2028?

32% YES

polymarket

Will the Fed cut rates at its next meeting?

58% YES

polymarket

Will AI pass the Turing test in 2026?

41% YES

manifold

Will a third-party candidate win a state in 2028?

12% YES

manifold

Will SpaceX land humans on Mars before 2030?

18% YES